Picks that are built like a system … not a vibe.
ArbitrageBeast continuously scans head-to-head markets, aggregates multi-book lines, removes vig to compute fair probability bands, measures EV bands, tracks market decay, and posts only qualified signals as clean Discord embeds.
The system … end to end
The engine isn’t a single “pick.” It’s a loop: scan, normalize, compute, qualify, size, monitor, and then report results with timestamps and closing snapshots.
Odds are gathered across books and synthesized into a single consensus view. Not one-book delusion. Not vibes.
- multi-book coverage … head-to-head markets
- best available price tracked
- supporting books show +EV alignment (panels)
Removes vig and computes a fair probability band from aggregated consensus. EV is computed relative to the best offered line.
- fair prob band … n = number of books
- EV_low … EV_mid … EV_high
- band_width signals stability
Signals are gated by rule thresholds. EV + consensus must clear the line — otherwise it becomes WAIT or PASS.
- STRONG … solid edge, fewer panels
- TITAN … higher edge, stronger consensus
- units sizing … capped Kelly
Signals … what they mean
You will see the pick, odds, fair probability band, EV band, and consensus panels. No mystery box.
Positive EV opportunities that clear thresholds and have enough consensus support to warrant action — posted directly to Discord.
Stronger EV bands and deeper agreement across books — fewer signals, heavier conviction by the numbers.
Live market decay tracking … every ~5 minutes
It doesn’t fire and forget. If the market moves and edge decays, you see the state change in Discord — with timestamps.
Picks shift between WAIT, BET, PASS based on whether EV_low remains above rule lines.
Supporting books listed when they also show +EV on the same side (“panels”).
Results posted with stake, closing snapshot, and final status. Tracking, not selective memory.
One price. One feed. Private Discord.
No tiers. No confusion. Live embeds + monitoring + audit trail.
- STRONG + TITAN Discord embeds
- fair prob band + EV band + panels
- capped Kelly stake suggestions (units)
- market decay monitoring every ~5 minutes
- result updates + closing snapshots + CLV